Friday, April 25, 2008

Examples of freeconomics

The Rise Of Freeconomics. Why $0.00 Is the Future of Business (March 2008) : core argument is that the fixed IT costs are spread over a wider audience, thus the marginal cost tends to zero (there are a few economic notions that are embedded within this document). Offers examples of Gillette's cross-subsidy, Ryanair as a travel agent - not just an airline, Google advertising and processing capabilities; together with Freemium (Fred Wilson, VC) for subscription model to acquire additional 'pro' services, Banda Calypso in Brazil allowing their music to be copied and sold on the street ahead of their concerts, value creation through labour exchange (I suspect the value is most likely from advertising and possible click-through sales, but could also be from demographic data collection, sadly the comment lacks examples to backup the argument), and zero distribution cost - where your junk has value for someone else, who will come and collect it from you...

Freeconomics: The Danger of Free (January 2008) : the implications of not having to pay for something. Examples include IBM giving away an enterprise programming tool (an IDE), Eclipse; the Google sphere of influence that arose from an esteemed search facility; and the high expectations on free services and for free services. The author states there there is no free lunch and that the cost is recovered elsewhere. Personally, I don't find the content that well presented - the Eclipse/IBM example fails to realise the implications of Open Source and the benefits that are realised from accessing more contributors outside of IBM. It is not as simple as offering a free tool. The article has good comments, so I enter it here as food for thought so as to provoke additional consideration.

Beware of Freeconomics (February 2008) : assesses the economic model for monopolistic markets and complex transactions. The story goes that Yahoo offered a good free email, with extra storage for a fee, and that Google (with Gmail) entered with free email and loads of storage so as to disturb the market. Whilst certainly competitive, it is not necessarily monopolistic - both services are supported by advertising streams, they share some similarities in their business models, and therefore could replicate the services. There does exist the sticky issue that new entrants to the market for email now cannot compete on price alone - it is free, and one could argue that this has an impact on innovation - as sources of funding are tricky when you don't charge the users a rental fee. This is also an opportunity for more entrepreneurship - to find ways to offer a service that meets the needs a certain user groups. In the mean time I think we can expect more consolidation, whereby competitors are acquired for their complementary services and revenue streams - thus positioning for an upturn in the market and also erecting more barriers to market entry. There is an interesting impact on the free/almost-free services, often this service is offered at cost (or perhaps illegally below cost!) but that it is the additional paid services that bring the profit. A studious user might take a snack on a Ryanair flight, thus avoiding the high cost of an in-flight sandwich. The article remarks that the cost complexity is increased in such situations and raises the number of small revenue channels. Those who desire all inclusive can purchase the services of other companies, but if you are astute you can reap the advantage of the cheaper no-frills opportunities - just set your expectations at the right level before buckling your seat belt!

Free to be Commie: "Freeconomics" as Market Communism (February 2008) : the economic theory of Communism in the Freeconomics world. A good read that relates the Freeconomics perspective with the Communist Theory: free goods, public ownership, and consumption that matches needs/desires. Public ownership is not advocated, instead private enterprise distributes the services at (almost) zero cost to the consumer. The article then explains how Freeconomics circumvents the 3 problems that Sherman presented against pure communism:

1. Zero price, infinite demand, therefore lack of supply
2. Zero wages, Man is lazy, therefore lack of incentive to work
3. No rational prices, inability to plan, therefore inefficient system

1) Human psychology will lead free services to be taken for granted. Wasted services do not hurt the supplier (how many use the complete Gmail storage? how many have uploaded files into drafted emails for easy access at a later time?)
2) Creative products appear not to suffer from the indolence factor. How many bloggers are paid to create content?
3) Market corrections can occur more rapidly in the Internet World

The author then goes on to relate freeconomics with partial communism, and that the difference between the original Sherman proposal is an exchange of ratios. Partial communism offered mostly free services, whereas freeconomics expects more services to be priced by the market - and that a smaller percentage will be free. The article ends with a quoteffrom the original Communist Manifesto: "The feudal relations of property became no longer compatible with the already developed productive forces; they became so many fetters. They had to be burst asunder; they were burst asunder".
A good article, certainly worth the read; the comments less so.

Thursday, April 24, 2008

LoveMarks : Future Beyong Brands

for all those softie marketing folks out there, I bring you lovemarks.com







well, actually saatchi & saatchi bring it to you
think of it as the web2.0 for marketing, or at least an online community that cares about communication and branding



read more about it in the big book by Kevin Roberts & Co

“The Inspirational Consumer has started a revolution - and only companies that have reached Lovemark status will survive.”
- Kevin Roberts


or perhaps you need something more British? try Sir Paul Smith

Tuesday, April 22, 2008

Futurologist/Analyst Principles, according to Intel guys (CIA)

• Analysts must have a “duty of curiosity,” and the analytic process must encourage and reward a deep and meaningful understanding of the phenomena under investigation;
• Analysts must be responsible for defining knowledge needs and, therefore, collection requirements; to do this effectively, they must understand
collection capabilities and be sensitive to their limitations;
• Analysts must be active participants in developing integrated strategies for collection and analysis, seeking information instead of being merely
passive recipients;
• The primary purpose of analytic effort is “sensemaking” and understanding, not producing reports; the objective of analysis is to provide information in a meaningful context, not individual factoids;
• The knowledge discovered and the expertise created when an analyst researches a problem is at least as important as “finished intelligence” products that may result;
• Learning is an activity that is valued highly by both analysts and the organization;
• Not all forecasts need be immediately “actionable;” informing decisionmakers and enhancing the quality of the decision process is a critical objective;
• Intuition and creative thinking, including positing hypotheses to be tested, are as important to analysis as evidence-based inductive approaches.

Extract from Cooper, cia.gov: Chapter Four: A Program for Transforming Analysis. "Pathways to Improved Intelligence Analysis," 2005

Monday, April 21, 2008

espresso accessibility in the home

Practical technology finds personal favour with me.
Perhaps it was the geek in me that was curious to read about the espresso machine hack, but it was the application and implications of such modifications (mods) that grew my interest. Consider coffee addicts who suffer from Parkinson's disease, impaired dexterity or indeed vision, people with amputations or disabilities...



There are many ways homes can be made more friendly, where thoughtful design can facilitate access. Perhaps it is time for such a service to be made available for technology gadgets. There might be two channels for such a service offering, gaining knowledge (moving down the learning curve) through the early adopters - the geeks who desire additional wow and ease of use; whilst also consulting on services suited for those with impairments.

Would this be a line of activity I would pursue as a career? yes
...I have a wonderful physio to advise on the ergonomics, and a plethora of technology advocates to work on novel and inspiring projects...

Tuesday, April 08, 2008

Primates at Business Education : Harvard

MBA - Mediocre But Arrogant
MBA - Master of Brainless Axioms

HBS continues to do well, but it seems they at least get their well-paid (and academically acclaimed) members together to work hard at keeping their international standing (read full article on ft.com).

In the year that sees HBS reach the centenary mark it is good that they are looking to deploy their $2.8bn endowment (£1.4bn, €1.8bn) to position themselves for more years of b-school dominance. They might find it increasingly difficult, with the top schools in USA and Europe rapidly catching up on various elements of FT ranking. It is also interesting to see how the various schools are responding to the "but how do you measure your success" - and have sought to write case-studies in true academic fashion (sadly our access is no longer valid for academic journals - a real shame).

The car analogy of a car: in their previous jobs, incoming students had concentrated on one aspect of the business – the windscreen wipers or the tyres. An MBA opens the bonnet and shows how the whole engine fits together. Yet the MBA does not teach implementation. You don’t come out as a mechanic.
Neil Courtis, INSEAD Graduate of December 2007


All this, yet companies still queue up at certain business schools to hire...
Once I get a fixed abode, I intend to subscribe the the HBS Business Review - as they at least manage to include some practical concepts for once - to keep in touch with the useful academic rigour/content/thinking

Read the second ft.com article here

too serious, need some R&R : take a venture into go-karting within SecondLife

Monday, April 07, 2008

In need of Shades?

Recommended online source: www.opticbytel.com

The family that run this site also own many opticians throughout north-west France. Their physical stores have done well, the online presence is run by their son - Aymeric, who is a personal friend. Prices are competitive.

Whilst I have no experience in purchasing via this site, I am told that the service is rapid. My confidence is high and would welcome any feedback. No, the sunglassses are not like those pictured - the snap is used for humour alone.

don't take the stairs

photo of a cat doing parkour...if your name is David Belle

Parkour (aka freerunning) has been on my visor for many years, yet it has sprung up once again due to recent marketing activities (typical you might think, having just completed MBA studies!).

Toshiba advert - to with to lead requires a passion, an insatiable appetite to go into the unknown, to find new space to go beyond yourself

ubisoft included it in Assassin's Creed on Playstation


Maurice Lacroix has recently downgraded Federer, the tennis player, for their preferred ambassador Mr Belle (see ft.com article). This got me thinking about how marketing may have altered the way we perceive not only our purchases (clearly for luxury goods the air of prestige, limited availability/affordability, and excellence all comes together) but also the way we are willing to receive the marketing and the impact it can have on us as individuals and within our social groups. Aspirational are one thing, aspirational activities quite another... The uptake of parkour, an extreme sport which requires no specific tools - only an inventive mind and perhaps an urban environment -



the scene from the District B13 film can be found here
...some might prefer the Nike love advert : on youtube.com

read more about parkour on the official blog of David Belle : sportmediaconcept.com/parkour
or the Parkour TV channel
those keen to start should join the foucan forum (who can? you can?)
statistics are sparse, but here are some stats for parkour uptake in the USA

The best part of falling is getting straight back up again
David Belle, 2006